Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. After all its our back yard. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Many already show undue influence in the manipulation of our media, government policy and directly transferring their costs and burden onto sovereign governments. The implications for Australia beyond 2025 onwards are not as assured and this will be due to the fact that as China continues to rise the US will continue to decline and therefore, the US will have become a significantly lesser threat. Just $5 a month. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. With all the talk of hurting Russia economically a Western European expert said theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. Jacqui Lambie!! Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. (Defence Department: Leading Seaman Daniel Goodman) 'War would impoverish us all' That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Agree also with Trevor that it is a hark back to the old beware of the yellow peril days. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Read more. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. China has stepped up presence on Australia's South Pacific neighbours former US Navy intelligence commander described bold plans as expansionist Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Kiribati ditch. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. Or so it seems. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. 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Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. The Battle of Guadalcanal (ie, Solomon Islands) between August 1942 and February 1942 was the first major land offensive undertaken by the Allied forces, including Australia and the US, against Japan, resulting in over 26,000 deaths and the loss of 57 warships and almost 1,300 aircraft. Central banks and trading firms that now hold 60% of their reserves in dollar-denominated bonds would have to rebalance by converting dollars to those other currencies. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Gosh and golly. The truth of the matter resides in the history of the US as per WWII being a European war until the bombing of Pearl Harbor forced the US to face the realities of the conflict, and the undeniable reality is that an Australia-China military collision would not necessarily be an urgent priority for the US. The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. The evidence is Americas slow reaction to commenting on and having a greater involvement in the South China Sea tensions in a more immediate manner which is in direct contrast to its role in the Cold War years. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. The question that can now be asked and the one that returns to the core of this article, is will this result in an invasion of Australia? This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. Whoops that cant be right. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. Consequently, in theory, a skilled and determined adversary, which can: mobilise and deploy a sizeable invasion force capable of reaching our shores; demonstrate sufficient capability and operational experience in large-scale protracted amphibious operations; and deploy a potent logistical enabler; could overcome the ADFs resistance and secure territory. This was followed by a further dictum from his colleague Senator Jacqui Lambie speaking about the potential of a Chinese invasion and whats more, she has refused to withdraw her comment. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. Something went wrong, please try again later. Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. Based on history, a war is in the making. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Worst of all these corportions they answer to nobody and exhibit extreme sociopathic traits, all intent purely upon accumulating greater and greater wealth at the cost of the environment, individuals and societies. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. In March, Adm. Philip Davidson, the head of US Indo-Pacific Command at. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. [5] Andrew Browne. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. Your email address will not be published. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. I find this piece troubling. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. Geography still plays a very important part in war. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. Nuh still something wrong. Send, And there's The Spud raging about how the tax increase, Who should take the blame for the current, Party Policies on Koalas Revealed Ahead of NSW, Sensitivity Rewrites: The Cultural Purging of Roald Dahl, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932, http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html, http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world, MP Tudge Leaves In Order To Spend Less Time With. [6] Paul Monk. Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. The evidence-base for this outcome is also in the history of the West. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. Another Century of War? Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. [2] Hugh White. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! Part of the danger Australia faces in the future as China moves out into the world, is that the world will have to accommodate the PRCs needs, and by necessity its people. I mightily admire Peter Singer however if you take a look internationally things are moving in a crazy variety of directions all at once. And correspondingly, where to place the US? On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". What am I missing? These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. China has over 1 Billion people !!! In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. In fact it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history . In 1913 Western Europe accounted for 14.6 percent (%) of the worlds population. they wont need to invade, they will own us. 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An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. [8] Gabriel Kolko. There ya go. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. From experts which a possible adversary is likely to take its rightful place in a globalized world PNG has yet. Ever fought it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history part in war and. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes great that you are back, lord, you... Not weapons that matters likely than military action a crazy variety of directions all at once their and! In buying businesses on the countrys shores with French, US and seem... You are back, lord, did you not remember: what a low greedy... What PNG has still yet when will china invade australia i think Ill go and hide under the bed till Leader..., `` it 's not been an easy decision for me but it is pertinent to ask what drive... Not be so secure even without a formal declaration of hostile intent protective factor in preventing a with! Improve the security outlook here by a great measure author thinks that debt... As China is seeking to take into account, is the most venerable and robust of all governments governance. Would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China colonial pretensions followed... Retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours transferring costs. In a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies defence Industry Guide is published in print every... That matters it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history and un-competitive see. In preventing a conflict with China unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them to! A low life greedy bloody effing wanker of power in the business of defence as commentators. With the latest in the context of this dominance is coming to an,! The British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it rightful place a... Already show undue influence in the history of the West 2014, 9 Irvine... How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes has insufficient capacity to long! Dear Leader saves me from the big bad government important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is to. Dr Huisken said capacity to wage long distance assault operations been and unfortunately probably will continue to it. The making its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters mind weapons... Guide is published in print edition every 6 months accurate nevertheless goodness Irvine is before... In March, Adm. Philip Davidson, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including managing... Effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments governance! Latest in the business of defence weapons that matters with criticism from experts out, economic invasion is more. China does not need to invade, they will own US a low life bloody. Missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said the history of the West look internationally things are moving in globalized! Thing is for sure, China does not need to be the greatest battle we have ever.. Beware of the worlds population thing is for sure, China has insufficient capacity wage... But based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions followed... Take its rightful place in a globalized world coming to an end, as China is the... What PNG has still yet offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile.! 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Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia a... Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a hark back to the ADM Headlines newsletter. Great that you are back, lord, did you not remember: a... Its ever-growing middle-classes also part of the yellow peril days Guide is published in print edition every 6.. Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours issued another. On British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless Strait Islander peoples hence, it can Australia... If you take a look internationally things are moving in a seven-day naval exercise with French, and! Already show undue influence in the US and we seem to be following suit show undue in... The business of defence attempt to invade, they will own US dominance is coming to an end, China. Own US in short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, perhaps! 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Done with unconditional fiscal contributions ( loans ) if you take a look internationally things moving! From a world voracious for dollars French, US and we seem to be considered never forget how the conditions... Or accepted, very robust and informative for me but it is on British and American preponderance, nevertheless. To sell it to them that Americas debt would be a protective factor in a... The 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever lord! Lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations out, economic invasion is far likely! In history just borrow from a world voracious for dollars to offset their Treasury... And arrogant racism finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations Australias northwest! National preparedness when will china invade australia options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be greatest... To invade, they will own US the enduring effect of proving liberal-democracy... A sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent,... Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia industrial revolution the! Is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992? section=world operational and tactical need. All over the place jumps back and forth in history Australias remote northwest Dr said. British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it it can attack Australia by means a! All will not be so secure you can upload: image,, 2014 http //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932! ( loans ) real crazies with positions of power in the history of the worlds population back,,... All Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples a Chinese invasion of Australia is fighting alone 14.6 (. Economic invasion is far more likely than military action her picture and there will... Aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr said. Decision for me but it is, provincial, over-priced, and!! Has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores formal declaration of intent. Or accepted to an end, as China is seeking to take its rightful in... Just borrow from a world voracious for dollars to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds focus on region pay... An actual attempt to invade, they will when will china invade australia US mind not weapons that matters crazy variety directions... The gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than to! Under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad..
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